Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 105.102773 115.907074 126.908515 138.923529 151.650820 164.706660 179.087188
2025-12-14 85.865049 101.712119 118.561418 137.701782 158.734974 181.043281 206.391746
2025-12-21 72.942434 92.451839 114.040058 139.432763 168.222155 199.605673 236.160539
2025-12-28 64.153401 86.586109 112.325813 143.537381 179.870953 220.379924 268.508387
2026-01-04 56.107208 80.542874 109.574385 145.785248 188.952463 238.040461 297.363036
2026-01-11 50.117859 76.228219 108.257828 149.223632 199.074844 256.720104 327.377555
2026-01-18 44.791333 72.106505 106.661867 151.906526 208.007955 273.858887 355.586945
2026-01-25 36.859940 63.680723 98.906164 146.320266 206.394128 278.107558 368.351517
2026-02-01 31.036616 57.460005 93.429142 143.096259 207.259748 285.004876 384.023006
2026-02-08 26.791780 52.997837 89.886792 142.016524 210.530719 294.630909 402.854938
2026-02-15 23.919623 50.249143 88.431791 143.478751 216.888584 307.977226 426.196040
2026-02-22 22.403675 49.433264 89.577345 148.364030 227.644816 326.829901 456.384500
2026-03-01 20.203590 47.332923 88.793148 150.628883 235.106122 341.786644 482.144937
2026-03-08 17.537617 44.135826 86.162999 150.161933 238.864483 352.042927 502.132997
2026-03-15 15.816894 42.374893 85.550836 152.446522 246.263363 366.969097 528.058047
2026-03-22 14.774850 41.723437 86.576187 157.047338 256.810253 386.012322 559.296782
2026-03-29 13.405559 40.275607 86.226190 159.569824 264.490351 401.361230 585.931653
2026-04-05 12.402595 39.413040 86.728261 163.292280 273.806261 418.865759 615.379012
2026-04-12 11.341260 38.288377 86.707875 166.178866 281.945893 434.854212 642.962163
2026-04-19 8.974166 33.974706 81.043522 160.279360 277.575703 434.193898 649.056307
2026-04-26 7.303687 30.859195 77.157205 156.871301 276.541065 437.825190 660.595059
2026-05-03 6.145640 28.721566 74.817269 155.732135 278.647606 445.597836 677.490545
2026-05-10 5.435917 27.591115 74.214876 157.287804 284.621040 458.587820 701.244086